Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pachuca in this match.