Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.06) 
