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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Jul 27, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
0 - 1
Toluca


Ambriz (17'), Montes (27'), Di Yorio (36'), Barreiro (85'), Bellon (90+4'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Ambriz (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (90')
Navarro (26'), Sierra (27')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Club Leon
Thursday, July 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, July 23 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Club LeonDrawToluca
63.39% (-0.061 -0.06) 21.11% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 15.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.175 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)46.88% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.223 -0.22)69.13% (0.22099999999999 0.22)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)14.13% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (-0.187 -0.19)41.79% (0.186 0.19)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.09% (-0.141 -0.14)42.9% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79% (-0.119 -0.12)79.21% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 63.38%
    Toluca 15.5%
    Draw 21.11%
Club LeonDrawToluca
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 63.38%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.11%
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 15.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Club Leon
Thursday, July 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Club Leon
Saturday, July 16 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 3-3 Pumas
Sunday, July 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-2 Club Leon
Sunday, July 3 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 Club Leon
Monday, April 25 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, July 23 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Toluca
Thursday, July 14 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Atlas
Sunday, July 10 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-4 Atlas
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Liga MX


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