Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (12.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.09) 
