Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
1.8) 
-0.23) 
