Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
