Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.