Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
