Puebla
1 - 0
Toluca

Tabo (60' pen.)
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (62')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puebla in this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Toluca
50.92%	26.05%	23.02%

Both teams to score 46.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.66%

56.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.63%

77.36%

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8%

22.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39%

55.6%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.1%

39.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.44%

76.56%

Score Analysis

Puebla 50.91%

Toluca 23.02%

Draw 26.04%

Puebla	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.91%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.3% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.02%