SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
52.66% ( -0.03) | 24.4% ( -0.07) | 22.94% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( 0.38) | 50.1% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( 0.34) | 72.07% ( -0.33) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( 0.14) | 18.98% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.47% ( 0.23) | 50.53% ( -0.22) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( 0.3) | 36.48% ( -0.3) |
