Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.
