Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2023 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
We said: Pachuca 1-1 Pumas
Pumas will be relatively pleased with their start, while Pachuca are yet to put a win on the board after last season's Apertura triumph, and we cannot quite pick a winner on Sunday, instead opting for a share of the spoils in what promises to be a close-fought encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Pachuca | Draw | Pumas |
54.66% ( 2.87) | 22.68% ( -0.63) | 22.66% ( -2.24) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.56) |
| 56.93% ( 0.51) | 43.07% ( -0.51) |
| 34.53% ( 0.5) | 65.47% ( -0.5) |
| 84.32% ( 1.19) | 15.68% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.27% ( 2.16) | 44.72% ( -2.16) |
| 67.16% ( -1.63) | 32.84% ( 1.63) |
