Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
