Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.