Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.12) 
