Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
