Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.

Result
Queretaro	Draw	Santos Laguna
44.57% ( -0.35)	25.57% ( 0.26)	29.86% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02% (

-1.07)

49.98% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

-0.96)

71.96% (

0.96)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.61)

22.38% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

-0.92)

55.88% (

0.92)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.49)

30.79% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.58)

67.06% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Queretaro 44.56%

Santos Laguna 29.86%

Draw 25.57%

Queretaro	Draw	Santos Laguna
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.56%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.86%