SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
22.1% ( 0.27) | 23.1% ( 0.38) | 54.8% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( -1.33) | 45.56% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% ( -1.28) | 67.88% ( 1.29) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( -0.49) | 34.74% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( -0.52) | 71.47% ( 0.53) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.69) | 16.51% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -1.27) | 46.24% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.1% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 54.79% |
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