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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 13, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
3 - 2
Tijuana

Correa (45', 52'), Doria (74')
Lopez (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Canelo (45+4'), Rodriguez (60')
Diaz (87')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, March 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Atlas
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawClub Tijuana
61.03% (0.208 0.21) 21.2% (-0.172 -0.17) 17.76% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.58% (0.517 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73% (0.718 0.72)43.27% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (0.704 0.7)65.67% (-0.70099999999999 -0.7)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (0.297 0.3)13.7% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07% (0.584 0.58)40.93% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.09% (0.388 0.39)37.91% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (0.374 0.37)74.68% (-0.37 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 61.03%
    Club Tijuana 17.76%
    Draw 21.2%
Santos LagunaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.2%
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, March 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-2 Puebla
Monday, February 27 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-5 Toluca
Friday, February 24 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, February 18 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Santos Laguna
Sunday, February 12 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-2 America
Sunday, February 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Atlas
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-0 Pachuca
Monday, February 27 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Tijuana
Monday, February 20 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Tijuana
Thursday, February 16 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, February 4 at 1am in Liga MX


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