Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
