SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Club Tijuana |
45.54% ( 0.38) | 26.43% ( -0.25) | 28.03% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% ( 0.87) | 54.32% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.3% ( 0.73) | 75.7% ( -0.72) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( 0.57) | 23.78% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.06% ( 0.81) | 57.94% ( -0.81) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( 0.36) | 34.43% ( -0.36) |
