Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Toluca
49.99% ( -0.15)	23.03% ( -0.01)	26.98% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.51% (

0.18)

40.48% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14% (

0.19)

62.86% (

-0.19)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

0.01)

16.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99% (

0.02)

46% (

-0.03)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

0.21)

27.98% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

0.26)

63.61% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 49.99%

Toluca 26.98%

Draw 23.02%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.99%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.98%