SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Santos Laguna |
36.33% ( -0.75) | 26.73% ( 0.36) | 36.94% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( -1.52) | 53.28% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( -1.31) | 74.83% ( 1.3) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -1.17) | 28.22% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.07% ( -1.5) | 63.92% ( 1.5) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.5) | 27.86% ( 0.49) |
