Liga MX | 1st Leg
Oct 28, 2022 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
33.9% ( -0.01) | 24.38% ( -0) | 41.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( 0.01) |
| 56.8% ( 0.01) | 43.19% ( -0.02) |
| 34.41% ( 0.02) | 65.59% ( -0.02) |
| 75.14% ( 0) | 24.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.54% ( 0) | 59.45% ( -0) |
| 79.17% ( 0.01) | 20.82% ( -0.01) |
