Toluca
0 - 2
Pachuca

Barbieri (44'), Rigonato Rodrigues (56'), Torres (90+1')
Barbieri (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de la Rosa (83'), Chavez (90+2' pen.)
Garcia (8'), Pardo (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pachuca
34.48%	25.95%	39.57%

Both teams to score 54.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87%

50.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9%

72.1%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18%

27.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59%

63.41%

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07%

24.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45%

59.55%

Score Analysis

Toluca 34.48%

Pachuca 39.57%

Draw 25.94%

Toluca	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.57%