Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Aug 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
36.08% ( 0.25) | 26.29% ( 0.03) | 37.63% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( -0.07) |
| 48.56% ( -0.1) | 51.43% ( 0.1) |
| 26.75% ( -0.09) | 73.24% ( 0.08) |
| 72.52% ( 0.1) | 27.48% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.02% ( 0.13) | 62.98% ( -0.13) |
| 73.41% ( -0.2) | 26.59% ( 0.2) |
