Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pachuca
32.44%	25.76%	41.8%

Both teams to score 54.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.22%

49.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22%

71.78%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.06%

28.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18%

64.82%

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37%

23.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29%

57.71%

Score Analysis

Toluca 32.44%

Pachuca 41.8%

Draw 25.76%

Toluca	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.44%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.8%