Auxerre have been extremely vulnerable in defence throughout this season, conceding 15 times in seven Ligue 1 fixtures, while Reims have been prolific in front of goal, netting 14 times, leading us to believe the visitors will win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
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