SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
47.75% ( -0.05) | 23.66% ( 0.09) | 28.58% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( -0.48) | 42.25% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( -0.48) | 64.65% ( 0.47) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.21) | 17.89% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( -0.35) | 48.67% ( 0.35) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( -0.28) | 27.75% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( -0.36) | 63.32% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.58% |
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