SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
49.45% ( -0.21) | 23.99% ( -0.03) | 26.56% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( 0.33) | 45.17% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( 0.31) | 67.52% ( -0.31) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( 0.04) | 18.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.54% ( 0.07) | 49.46% ( -0.07) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.36) | 30.74% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% ( 0.42) | 67.01% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.45% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.56% |
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