SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Auxerre |
41.27% ( 0.84) | 25.59% ( 0.05) | 33.13% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( -0.45) | 48.88% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( -0.41) | 70.98% ( 0.41) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( 0.22) | 23.49% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% ( 0.32) | 57.52% ( -0.32) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( -0.78) | 28.05% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( -1) | 63.71% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.13% |
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