Ajaccio have demonstrated more of a resilient streak at just the right time, but home is not where the heart is for Pantaloni's side, whose frequent failures to perform in front of their own fans are well-documented.
Even without Neymar and a host of defensive concerns to work around, Friday's game should see PSG light the blue touch paper with a routine success, probably with a few goals in tow.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.03%) and 0-3 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
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