SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Metz |
| 61.86% | 21.93% | 16.21% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% | 49.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% | 71.12% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% | 15.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.93% | 44.07% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.73% | 43.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.48% | 79.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.11% 4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.18% Total : 61.85% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 5.56% 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.21% |
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