Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.46%).