SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Le Havre |
58.07% ( 0.21) | 22.2% ( -0.07) | 19.73% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( 0.11) | 44.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( 0.11) | 67.02% ( -0.11) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( 0.11) | 15.09% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.38% ( 0.21) | 43.62% ( -0.21) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% ( -0.08) | 36.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.64% ( -0.08) | 73.36% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.07% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.73% |
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