SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Le Havre |
52.77% ( 0.19) | 24.68% ( -0.03) | 22.55% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( -0.02) | 51.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( -0.02) | 73.39% ( 0.02) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.07) | 19.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% ( 0.11) | 51.41% ( -0.11) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% ( -0.16) | 37.69% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.53% ( -0.15) | 74.46% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.76% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.55% |
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