SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
56.01% ( -1.35) | 22.52% ( 0.55) | 21.47% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% ( -1.44) | 43.76% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( -1.43) | 66.15% ( 1.43) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.93) | 15.46% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( -1.77) | 44.32% ( 1.77) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( -0.05) | 34.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.98% ( -0.05) | 71.03% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.01% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.47% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
