SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
18.35% ( -0.07) | 20.13% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.72% ( -0.05) | 37.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.51% ( -0.06) | 59.48% ( 0.06) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.11) | 33.67% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -0.12) | 70.32% ( 0.11) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( 0) | 11.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.2% ( 0.01) | 36.79% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 18.36% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.13% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.79% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.28% Total : 61.51% |
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