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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 6, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
N

Brest
2 - 0
Nice

Mounie (23'), Honorat (28')
Honorat (52'), Lasne (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Saliba (11'), Gouiri (63'), Mahou (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Nice had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawNice
37.19%25.66%37.15%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35%48.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24%70.76%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46%25.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6%60.4%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44%25.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58%60.42%
Score Analysis
    Brest 37.19%
    Nice 37.15%
    Draw 25.65%
BrestDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.19%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.15%

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