Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
69.06% | 18.54% | 12.4% |
Both teams to score 49.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% | 42.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% | 64.72% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.85% | 11.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.39% | 35.61% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.35% | 80.65% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 11.97% 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 4.8% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.78% Total : 69.05% | 1-1 @ 8.81% 0-0 @ 4.98% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 4.01% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.4% |
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