Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
