Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
