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Thursday, March 28
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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
RS

Monaco
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Volland (28'), Fofana (38')
Maripan (15'), Golovin (33'), Nubel (90+5')
Fofana (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Isak (35')
Zaldua (44'), Januzaj (58'), Zubimendi (75')

We said: Monaco 1-1 Real Sociedad

With Graz still to come on matchday six, Kovac may not risk a defeat in search of all three points. With Sociedad potentially adopting the same mindset, do not be surprised to see this contest end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawReal Sociedad
36.83%26.51%36.66%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67%52.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98%74.02%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53%27.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.96%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43%27.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91%63.08%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 36.83%
    Real Sociedad 36.66%
    Draw 26.5%
MonacoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 6.29%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.66%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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