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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Chaban Delmas
L

Bordeaux
2 - 2
Lyon

Gusto (36' og.), Elis (58')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Denayer (29'), Mendes (41')

We said: Bordeaux 1-3 Lyon

Whether you go with the pattern of their Ligue 1 form (WLWLWL) or of their form in all competitions (WWLWWL), it indicates Lyon are set for a win. Bordeaux's form in general backs that up and we are predicting a high-scoring affair with all three points heading back to Lyon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
BordeauxDrawLyon
28.87%24.05%47.08%
Both teams to score 58.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15%43.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77%66.23%
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89%64.11%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22%18.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82%50.17%
Score Analysis
    Bordeaux 28.87%
    Lyon 47.09%
    Draw 24.04%
BordeauxDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.07%
1-0 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.87%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-1 @ 8.91%
0-2 @ 7.45%
1-3 @ 5.23%
0-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.09%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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