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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
LL

Lyon
2 - 1
Lens

Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lens had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawLens
58.94%22.02%19.04%
Both teams to score 53.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12%44.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76%67.24%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12%14.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77%43.23%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57%37.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78%74.21%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 58.93%
    Lens 19.04%
    Draw 22.01%
LyonDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 6.31%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 5.47%
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 19.04%

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