Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.