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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Stade de Gerland

Lyon
3 - 0
Sparta Prague

Slimani (61', 63'), Toko Ekambi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vindheim (40'), Krejci (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawSparta Prague
61.46%24.19%14.34%
Both teams to score 38.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.81%60.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.62%80.38%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66%51.34%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.39%52.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.6%86.4%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 61.46%
    Sparta Prague 14.34%
    Draw 24.18%
LyonDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 16.76%
2-0 @ 13.71%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 4.8%
4-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 61.46%
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.58%
1-2 @ 3.46%
0-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 14.34%

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