Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
