While a draw would not be a surprising outcome, Lens could nick a slender win in Clermont, extending their unbeaten run over the hosts and ending their opponent's two-game run without losing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
-0.01) 
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