Montpellier HSC have made a solid start to the Ligue 1 season, while Clermont have looked very poor barring their last match against Paris Saint-Germain.
As such, we expect MHSC to get their first home win of the season on the board this Sunday, consolidating their place in the top half of the Ligue 1 table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.92) 
-0.32) 
