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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 4, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
BL

Lorient
1 - 0
Brest

Abergel (45')
Abergel (20'), Monconduit (78'), Hamel (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mounie (52'), Brassier (85')
Belkebla (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
LorientDrawBrest
42.55%28.14%29.32%
Both teams to score 45.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.05%59.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.8%80.2%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52%63.48%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56%36.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77%73.23%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 42.54%
    Brest 29.31%
    Draw 28.12%
LorientDrawBrest
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-1 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 29.31%

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