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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
LL

Brest
1 - 1
Lens

Cahuzac (37' og.), Kakuta (72' pen.)
Bade (35'), Haidara (48'), Fortes (54'), Banza (59'), Clauss (63'), Lucas (87')
Haise (65'), Fortes (81'), Lucas (89'), Banza (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLens
33.65%25.47%40.88%
Both teams to score 55.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76%48.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61%70.39%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1%62.89%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6%23.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61%57.39%
Score Analysis
    Brest 33.65%
    Lens 40.88%
    Draw 25.47%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.88%

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