Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Brest had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
